With the Phoenix Open open complete, the stars of the PGA Tour head to Riviera Country Club in Los Angeles this week for the 2023 Genesis Invitational, where Hoffmans four top-15 finishes at the Arnold Palmer Invitational over the last five years are especially notable. Follow him on Twitter: @adplacksports. We shouldve had some equity in Chris Kirk but tried to get too cute. McIlroy vs. Scheffler, a loaded LPGA field and more to watch in golf this week. Even more concerning, he fell down the leaderboard over the weekend at both the Genesis Invitational and Honda Classic. Obviously, we still have the 90/1 Luke List winner to fall back on. At Bay Hill, course history has proven more repeatable than just about any other course on the PGA TOUR schedule. The list of past champions and regular contenders is littered with those who have steadily contended in Majors, THE PLAYERS, or Ryder Cup and Presidents Cup atmospheres. But, with three top-20 finishes over five career Arnold Palmer Invitational appearances, he can still be an active contributor in DraftKings lineups. The Masters - Golf: Long shots have serious Augusta chances. Call 1-800-GAMBLER if you have a gambling problem. After two Hes dropped strokes to the field driving and on approach in consecutive events for the first time since earning his full tour card, but the long irons have continued to be much better than the field, and while distance is always going to be lacking, his accuracy continues to be elite. Lack: Rory McIlroy (+110) over Jon Rahm (PointsBet) This matchup will be extremely fun to track, as I believe Rory McIlroy and Jon Rahm have emerged as far and away the two best players in the world. Rahm or Rory at Bay Hill. For more betting picks and advice, check out BetSided. Yes, I dont love betting on Chris Kirk (or any player) the week after a win, but his history at the API is phenomenal with no finish worse than T15 in the past five years (four starts). READ MORE: Back Shohei Ohtani, Japan in World Baseball Classic futures market. My best sports betting pick of the day for Tuesday (2/14/23) is for the 2023 Genesis Invitational. Golf betting and fantasy expert Sia Nejad, who correctly called Lets get to our 2023 WM Phoenix Open longshots and sleepers for your DFS lineups and betting cards. 2023 Minute Media - All Rights Reserved. PGA $1M Pitch & Putt: Because theres variance at work at Bay Hill given the complexity of the conditions and the wind, theres a chance to win big in the $1 million contest this week if you fall on the right side of the carnage. by Mastercard. Previous weeks: Fortinet Championship: Emiliano Grillo. That may not sound like much, but for this price, that combination of tee-to-green consistency and course history prowess make a great formula for a top-40 push. He created the website thepgatout.com at the start of 2021 and is active on Twitter (@PGATout). For now, well assume equal playing conditions for the full field when determining top value plays until more information becomes available on tee times and Thursday/Friday weather reports. This tournament has bred few surprises at the top of the leaderboard by Sunday. Each of the two rivals had claimed the other was always stealing his ideas. WebThe Arnold Palmer Invitational is set to take place this week from March 2-5, 2023, at the Bay Hill Golf Course. In just his second year on TOUR, Pendrith has already accumulated 13 top-25 finishes, which span across comp courses like PGA National, Winged Foot and Torrey Pines. Caddie: Max Homa (+130) over Scottie Scheffler (DraftKings) Homas ball-striking is in an elite category right now, and theres no reason to believe he shouldnt keep up his hot form. The PGA TOUR heads back to Texas this week for the 2021 Charles Schwab Challenge at Colonial. Hes been electric at Bay Hill, teeing it up 11 times. Lee is striking the ball just way too well for his odds to be this long and he proved somewhat that it wasnt just a DP World Tour thing when he finished strong on the weekend at PGA National. Last weeks PGA TOUR golf sleepers article produced a contender in Ben Martin at longshots odds, and well set out to find more diamonds in the rough again as we shift focus to Phoenix. McIlroy hasnt had his best stuff over the past two weeks, while Rahm has won five times in last eight starts. For a deeper dive into the course, read my WM Phoenix Open preview. For a deeper dive into the course, read myArnold Palmer Invitational preview. Steele ranks top-10 in both SG: OTT and SG: APP, which will help him to avoid the persistent hazards that threaten around both the fairways and greens. All of that makes Scott a great long shot pick this week. Heres our pick, the betting favorites and everything else you need to know for the week. Combine that with his form and I think hes in line for another great showing. Tiger Woods, in his first official start since last years Open Championship, is at +15000, which are among the longest odds you will ever see attributed to the 15-time major champ. Which college basketball teams are bettors cashing in on? Powers, Golf Digest: Shane Lowry (65-1, FanDuel) Last week he was the toast of the town as the second favorite, and he wound up finishing top five. As managing producer for GOLF.com, Cunningham edits, writes and publishes stories on GOLF.com, and manages the brands e-newsletters, which reach more than 1.4 million subscribers each month. He came to Golf Digests betting panel after previously writing for Golf.com, the Score and GolfWRX. For more information, please read our Legal Disclaimer. Genesis: Justin Thomas. Keegan is also one of the best in proximity on Par 3:150-200 yards, so he should have what it takes to survive the infamous Bear Trap, which features two par 3s measuring 179 and Steeles course history includes four top-10s and eight top-30s over the last 11 years. Skip to navigation. Scroll down to read our best bets for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. Scotts last four starts at Riviera look like this: T4, T38, 1 and T7. Other top contenders in the 2023 Arnold Palmer field include McIlroy (19-2), Scheffler (11-1), Max Homa (19-1), Collin Morikawa (21-1), Justin Thomas (23-1), Xander NEC Tournament Odds: Merrimack In A One-Horse Race? Its still safe to say he enters the Arnold Palmer Invitational as a longshot, albeit one with great potential. Course History and Comp Course History in difficult, major-like conditions are the foundation for my Arnold Palmer Invitational research this week. Its a good number if nothing else. Sentry TOC: Patrick Cantlay. Tough to know what a successful start will look like for the 15-time major winner. While Fowler didnt pull off the victory, he played quite well, outperforming his long odds to finish the tournament at 10 under, nine shots off Scottie Schefflers winning score and good enough for a T10, which means if you bet on him to finish in the top 10 as we did, you made a little money. It has to be noted that Lowry is a former winner at the Honda and the field was lacking talent, but he still played well enough that a jump to +6500 is a bit of stretch, especially since hes got four competitive rounds of Florida golf under his belt while most of the best players in this tournament will be adjusting from West Coast golf. Below, find my favorite value DFS options and longshots for the 2023 WM Phoenix Open. As for Conners, hes been somewhat shockingly bad of late, most noticeably at Riviera where he lost four strokes tee-to-green, something he hasnt done since the Memorial in June of 2021. WMPO: Collin Morikawa. (Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images). Here are the stats you should be paying attention to. Golf News Written By John Haslbauer on February 28, 2023 For the third time in four weeks, all of the PGA TOURs best have assembled for an elevated event, Should he pull off a victory, he could turn a $10 bet into $550. The two-time major winner has consistently been in the top 25, but that isn't going to cut it against the likes of Rahm, McIlroy and Scheffler. Hes made the cut in 10 straight starts and has four top-12 finishes. I think this is a spot where we can fade Rahm, on a course that favors the drawers of the ball. Here are your options. As a Florida resident, Bradley has naturally looked comfortable on the Florida Swing, with six top-30 finishes over his last seven starts in the state. Past results: Ladies and gentlemen, we are officially heating up. RELATED: Want to become a better golf bettor? Touts are lame. But despite all that, there is still one longshot whos made his way onto my outright card anyway, and its this man right here. Christopher Powers, Golf Digest staff writer: Collin Morikawa (21-1, FanDuel) As much as Id love to make this a consensus Willy Z week, I have to stick with Morikawa, who came close for me at both Torrey and Riviera. Justin Thomas and Xander Schauffele, who both had solid performances at the WM Phoenix Open, come in tied for third with +1600 odds-to-win. Hennessey, Golf Digest: Jon Rahm (+650, DraftKings) Can you stop taking the fun out of outright golf betting, Jon Rahm? Who has won the most US Masters titles? The DFS price at $7,200 is more than fair, and projected ownership doesnt look to be over the top yet, so Im a full go on Steele at TPC Scottsdale. McDonald NAILED the Farmers Insurance Open, backing Homa (25-1) as his top choice! The Twitter handle is a joke. But the key to picking the best long shot any week is finding players whose odds are longer than you think they deserve to be. Breaking down the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks for this week at Bay Hill with our best bets, One and Done selection and more PGA Tour expert picks. He will in all likelihood lose strokes putting at Bay Hill this week as well. Arnold Palmer Invitational: Odds, expert picks to win, Keith Mitchell hits from the fourth hole tee during the third round of The Genesis Invitational golf tournament. His consistent ball striking and history in these conditions make for a high floor and solid placement consideration this week. An impressive 44 of the top 50 players in the Official World Golf Rankings are set to tee off at Bay Hill on Thursday. McIlroy has gained strokes putting at Bay Hill in four of his past five trips, which has translated to one win, four top-10s and no finish worse than T-13. Kings vs. Thunder prediction and odds for Tuesday, February 28 (Fade OKC again), MLB rumors: Gavin Lux, Manny Machado, insider info on 2 recent free-agent signings, Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 tee times, field, purse, odds and how to watch, LIV Golf Ratings Hold Steady at Horrid For Final Round of LIV Mayakoba, Honda Classic purse 2023: Payout by player, finishing position [Updated], Honda Classic live bets and odds ahead of Round 3, Its about time for a PGA-LPGA team event. (Photo: Brian Rothmuller/Icon Sportswire via AP Images). Putnam ranks top-15 in Good Drives Gained, Bogey Avoidance, Scrambling Gained, and SG: P, all good signs for a potential top-30 or top-40 push. Okay, I admit that it reminds me of the sixth at Hazeltine National, another Trent Jones product, but I don't think Wilson picked Trent's pocket on this one, as both courses were built about the same time, in the early 1960s. Tiger Woods will make his long-awaited return, The embarrassing reason Adam Scott wont be at the Phoenix Open, he also won the Genesis Invitational in 2020, Tour Confidential: Tiger Woods return, designated events, Augusta changes, 'Absolutely horrendous': Xander Schauffele explains Bay Hill's juicy rough, How LIV Golf's ratings fared in its network TV debut, Arnold Palmer Invitational betting guide: 8 picks our expert loves at Bay Hill, Former FedEx Cup champ a great long-shot bet at Bay Hill: 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational odds, Honda Classic betting guide: 8 picks our expert loves at PGA National, Defending champ is our long-shot bet at PGA National: 2023 Honda Classic odds, Tiger, Bones and bros: 13 observations from 14 straight days on Tour, Tiger Woods and one of the sweetest gestures you'll see as told by the 9-year-old recipient, Tiger Woods disciples, new LIV signees, PGA Tour money | Monday Finish, Tiger Woods is nearing and battling The End, Big names make big gear changes at the Genesis Invitational | Wall-to-Wall Equipment. >. Im going all in on the course horses this week, especially those at a discount. You can see the top 20 in Genesis Invitational betting odds as of Monday afternoon at the bottom of this post, or head over to BetMGM to see the full list of odds and bets for this week. Anyone who follows McDonald's advice has been cashing in! RSM Classic: Brendon Todd. At last weeks WM Phoenix Open, we identified Rickie Fowler as our top long shot bet. Big South Tournament Odds: UNC Asheville, Longwood Knotted Atop Betting Market. Hes not backing down. managing editor: Will Zalatoris (22-1, DraftKings) This is inching toward a community bet, and golf betting isnt that easy. Another week, another punt on Byeong-hun An. Longshot pick to win Arnold Palmer Invitational: Min Woo Lee (+15000). READ MORE: Full sports betting coverage from The Philadelphia Inquirer. Like Lowry, Fleetwood is built to contend at events like this. The 2013 Masters champions odds-to-win the Genesis are +5500, which are better odds than you usually will find among our long-shot picks. For the third time in four weeks, all of the PGA TOURs best have assembled for an elevated event, this time in Orlando for the 2023Arnold Palmer Invitationalat Bay Hill. Now everybodys hopping off at 65-1? Hes a major champion, a WGC winner (remember those?) Shriners: Taylor Montgomery. PGA TOUR Golf Sleepers: 4 Potential WM Phoenix Open Longshot Picks Golf News Written By John Haslbauer on February 7, 2023 The greatest party in golf is ESPN+. And with high winds in the forecast it may very well come down to a scrambling contest before crowning a winner in the single digits under par. These odds are just too long to overlook for a player performing as well as he is right now. As a 7,216 yard par-71, TPC Scottsdale is about average in terms of total yardage, but plays shorter than the scorecard suggests in firm and dry conditions at elevation. Gdula also co-hosts the DFS Heat Check podcast. Bradley was runner-up at Bay Hill in 2014 and third in 2013. Up to $1,250 on Caesars. The Irishman was a triple-digit longshot at Riviera two weeks ago and then was the second-favorite at the Honda Classic seven days back. Anonymous Caddie Picker of the week: Rory McIlroy (10-1, BetMGM) Im not sure how we ended up here after his insane 2022, but at the end of February Rorys already the forgotten man. Mayo: Tom Kim (45-1, DraftKings) While hell likely be my pick to win next week, Kims odds have simply slipped too far for his upside this week. Honda: Chris Kirk. Riley Hamel. Defending tournament champion Scottie Scheffler, Rory McIlroy and current No. Even still, you can find him beyond 75-to-1 odds in this loaded field, and at the discounted DraftKings price of $7,600. Wind proved a decisive factor in the 2022 outcome of the Arnold Palmer and should be monitored closely ahead of tee off on Thursday. Zozo: Hideki Matsuyama. Now covering the sport from a broader perspective, McDonald still likes to dip his toes into the betting pools on a weekly basis on the PGA Tour. Five 2022 PGA Championship Longshots and Darkhorses We Love To win your PGA Championship pool, you need to find the longshots and darkhorses with longer odds at Southern Hills, so here are some sleepers in the field. 5 Second Chance Bets up to $50. The second leg of the FedEx Cup Playoffs takes us to Wilmington, Delaware for the first time in PGA TOUR history, as we head to the South course at Wilmington Country Club for potential longshot BMW Impressive 44 of the Arnold Palmer Invitational research this week, course history in conditions..., read my WM Phoenix Open preview shouldve had some equity in Chris Kirk but tried to get cute! Draftkings lineups times in last eight starts concerning, he fell down leaderboard! To fall back on Texas this week from March 2-5, 2023, at the of. 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