J Hogg from 1998 to 2000. If you have any questions please contact Leila Stewart at mail@gscc.com.au or +61 434035020. Firstly of course no community and no ethnic group is a monolith, theres a huge variety of views. Betting markets are clearly expecting a Labor tide in Queensland. Even my (still overpoweringly vital ) 85 year old mother the Valkyrie accused me of going off half-cocked the other night.! The ABC has a great write up on how all that works, and if it even . It is an increasing affluent division, has a smaller margin and is similar in profile to a division like Ryan. 1. We acknowledge the Traditional Custodians of the unceded lands of the Gumbaynggirr, Dunghutti, Thunggutti and Biripi people and pay our respects to Elders past and present. Member of the Speaker's Panel from 4.8.2021 to 11.4.2022. Lets catch up on LIberation Day!! [1] https://amp.theguardian.com/environment/2021/dec/31/carbon-bomb-queensland-reveals-big-jump-in-land-clearing. Senator Scarr is acting as an Ipswich corridor MP. Support James. Hanson formed One Nation in her term in the House of Representatives, and contested Blair in 1998. Charlotte McCabe Candidate for Newcastle. . I dont think Scott Morrison has done any campaigning here. History . The electorate may have lost Ipswich over several redistributions between 1996 and 2007, but Ipswich was replaced by equally strong Labor voting territory around Inala.The most dramatic feature of the Oxley graph is the collapse in Labor support between 1993 and 1996. Remember the lessons of 1993 and 2004 there is no such thing as invincibility in politics. Outline up to 3 topics that they believe they would advocate for introduction or change within the electorate. 2. Dick actually believes that he is ENTITLED to receive individual special treatment !.Dick cannot accept that HE IS NOT ENTITLED. Some observers might find this is similar to Sydneys swinging Western and South Western fringes, with residents who couldnt quite afford to live in Sydneys East and Inner West. Mr Green's campaign Facebook page and website have been taken down. Our People Toggle. The ALP won a majority of the two-party-preferred vote in two of these five areas, polling 56.3% in central Ipswich and 60.7% in eastern Ipswich. He has little brother syndrome . His replacement is Kyle McMillan, who lost the preselection battle for Lilley. So their internal polling must be suggesting this seat is not in play. We are seeking expressions of interest from people who believe they have what it takes to be an outstanding State representative. The Liberal National Party candidate in the Queensland seat of Oxley has resigned two days out from the close of nominations for the federal election. They would have to do very poorly in Queensland to be in trouble here. It has changed hands four times since the 2007 election, most recently in 2019 when the LNP's Terry Young defeated short-term Labor MP Susan Lamb. Media incorrectly claims there are no Labor Marginals in the state when this actually still is marginal (5.3%). The federal MP for Oxley is Milton not his brother Cameron and I question the relevance of this. While Queensland fared exceedingly well throughout the pandemic and managed to keep the majority of its workforce running by keeping the virus out of the state, it still made a dent in the economy (albeit, it could have been a lot worse with a stricken community, rolling shutdowns and overwhelmed health system). Now you really have gone way, way, way too far !. Election results in Blair at the 2019 federal election Toggle between two-party-preferred votes and primary votes for Labor, the Liberal National Party and One Nation. As an example, The Greens is stating it will recommend preferencing Labor ahead of the Coalition at the 2022 Federal Election. The premier visiting Tokyo certainly wont help Labor either, It isnt an important trip, I dont care about the Olympics being held here it isnt important as pandemic recover. The figures below show the number of voters on the certified list for the 2022 federal election. Election Platform 2022. The suggestion Labor give up Queensland is laughable. I see you say ALP aim to hold on here on other pages. Most of Blairs population lives in the urban area around the centre of Ipswich, and these have been divided into Central, North and East. Named in honour of John Joseph Oxley, 1784-1828, considered to be one of the greatest explorers and early pioneers of Southern Queensland. The seat of Oxley was created as part of the expansion of the House of Representatives at the 1949 election. https://amp.theguardian.com/environment/2021/dec/31/carbon-bomb-queensland-reveals-big-jump-in-land-clearing, NSW 2023 where preferences have flowed over time, Podcast #86: Introduction to the NSW election, When local council parties break into state politics, NSW 2023 rising preference flows deciding the upper house. The rural areas of Blair tend to the LNP due to the LNP understanding and respecting the farmers, graziers and the like are competent in looking and working their properties in a sustainable, environmental and economical way.. Web: jamesmcgrath.com.au Email: [email protected] Phone: 07 5441 1800 Address: Tenancy A, 2-4 Mitchell Street, Nambour QLD 4560 Post: PO Box 772, Nambour QLD 4560. Federal Electorate: OXLEY Member: Milton DICK Party represented at the last federal election: ALP More information about the electorate of Oxley The following results were found for your search. Labor hold. Seat-by-seat guide to the 2022 federal election FEDERAL ELECTION 2022. actually it is worse. Make child care cheaper so that it's easier for working families to get ahead. Christian Values Checklist Released for Federal Election 21 May 2022 Warwick Marsh 29 April 2022 3.6 MINS Editor's Note: A New Second Edition Christian Values Checklist has been released. Comparing the validity of O.S. Greater Springfield Chamber of Commerce might have other events you're interested in. Found this interesting; repealing Sarbanes-Oxley, SOX, is on the official party platform for TX Republicans . If they would go & never return, then id be interested !. INEC Election Results So Far - INEC Presidential Election Results 2023 so far. Then after this division inevitably gets redistributed with less of it encompassing the rural parts of South East Queensland, ALP regain. You cant really compare it to the Hanson era seat. It wouldve been more useful picking somebody from WA or Victoria but I suppose there wasnt many options left anymore. Hansons seat of Oxley was won in 1998 by ALP candidate Bernie Ripoll, and he held the seat until his retirement in 2016. Both of these industries were heavily unionised throughout much of the 20th century, the strong connection between Labor and the unions was a healthy pipeline of votes directly to Labor from their blue-collar base. Those that had been made redundant were disillusioned. Toggle between two-party-preferred votes and primary votes for Labor, the Liberal National Party and the Greens. Re-elected 2019 and 2022. We haven't announced any federal election candidates in your area. You're using Internet Explorer, some features might not work. Moved Permanently. In Queensland in this election, there were two "turn-overs"the Australian Greens took two seats where the Greens candidate was not leading in the first count. Amazing that Labor can afford to have total wastes of space in their few safe seats in QLD. Oxley QLD: ALP: Page NSW: NAT . Ive set up a generic election open thread to go up in the morning. Recent polling indicates that a Teal candidate in Oxley will start the campaign only slightly behind the newly announced National candidate. Why do juries view crime scenes like the Murdaugh estate?,Jurors in Alex Murdaugh's murder trial will get a chance to see for themselves the rural hunting estate where his wife and son were killed. This seat overlaps with Palaszczuks state seat and while the history of state to federal jumps isnt great, that might be their best option. safe Liberal. The Federal election results in Cowper showed that many people of this area want to be represented by someone who cares about climate action, protecting the environment, social equity and integrity in politics. Official websites use .gov trips is puerile, & irrelevant. Even then, Id be surprised to see the Libs not shift into gear (in Blair at least) as election day nears. On the other hand Albaneses centrist small target approach and campaigning on jobs seems to be landing well with anyone I speak with in QLD (even though I find it weak and wish hed push for meaningful progressive reforms). These new young families increasingly outnumber the traditional blue-collar voters of Blair, and likely bring with them different attitudes and voting intentions than its long term residents. Booths in the City of Ipswich have been grouped as South-West. Organiser of the Australian Labor Party State Branch (Qld.) Parliament House This shows concern about what is happening to that base. A highly motivated and dynamic Director of Technology with a Master of Science degree in Business and Blockchain Tech, with 10+ years of achievement with distributed systems and solution architecting. Labor doesnt have a huge majority but there are some Queensland seats up for grabs in 2025. @LNP Insider interesting that you flag Oxley as a location where LNP might have genuine intent in competing. Milton Dick was Labor's Queensland State Secretary from 2003 until retiring from the position after the 2007 federal election to contest and win Richlands ward at the 2008 Brisbane City Council elections. Assessment Blair is a very marginal seat but the current margin is a low point for Labor since the major redistribution redrew the seat in 2006. I would have thought as a Labor cheerleader that you would have had some interest in getting rid of timeservers, & lackeys ? Ill also make a few points that address John, Sharyn and Engadine. 1050 First Street, NE Existing at Federation but abolished in 1934, Oxley was re-created when the Parliament was expanded at the 1949 election. David Alan Booth Oxley 2023 State General Election 31/08/2022 Unregistered 23/02/2023 . It is my observation that both major parties are underestimating the detrimental effects of government overreach during the last term. Facebook; Twitter; Senator Matt Canavan. The Victorian ALP is pretty unpopular, but any negative press is still good press against whatever will be left of the Victorian Libs. Latest Update On WAEC GCE . Demographic Rating: The LNP are basically aiming to hold their own seats rather than win any Labor .Little effort going into contesting Blair,Lilley or Moreton by the LNP. document.getElementById( "ak_js_1" ).setAttribute( "value", ( new Date() ).getTime() ); Enter your email address to subscribe to this blog and receive notifications of new posts by email. The LNP candidate here is young, intelligent and a moderate and while Shayne is an appalling member, Labor will likely hold on with a swing towards. Queanbeyan-Palerang Regional Council countback election - 7 Feb 2023 Election of one Councillor North Sydney Council (St Leonards Ward) countback election - 21 Feb 2023 Election of one Councillor 2023 NSW State election - 25 Mar 2023 Election of the 58th Parliament of NSW See all current electionsarrow_forward For voterskeyboard_arrow_right He is the brother of Queensland Treasurer and Minister for Trade and Investment, Cameron Dick. LDP, UAP and PHON have candidates already. Late in the 20th century, these unions waned and the workers that largely participated in these industries entered retirement or had been made redundant and replaced with a more atomised & casualised workforce. Queanbeyan-Palerang Regional Council countback election - 7 Feb 2023 Election of one Councillor North Sydney Council (St Leonards Ward) countback election - 21 Feb 2023 Election of one Councillor 2023 NSW State election - 25 Mar 2023 Election of the 58th Parliament of NSW See all current electionsarrow_forward For voterskeyboard_arrow_right Kyle McMillen will run for the Liberal National Party in the seat of Oxley after Chris Green resigned just days before the formal launch of his campaign. The commentariat here are far too bullish on the Coalitions chances. Maybe there should be a thread just for general election soothsaying. Johns observation is correct. When there is effectively no opposition to decisions being made, there is a growing awareness that any alternatives lie outside the duopoly. Even if they werent, they cant do what Howard did in 1998 because sandbagging alone is too much of a risk when youre just hovering at the majority line. Two more points to consider to add the Observers points. Cant see any likely scenario where Labor loses Blair. It always staggers me that MPs that are clearly incapable of ministerial responsibility, are allowed to remain. Despite coming first on primary votes, Hanson lost due to the ALP and Liberal Party swapping preferences. There were rumors reported that former LNP QLD state leader and Mp for Nanango Deb Frecklington had interest in standing in Blair in May. NSW 2023 where preferences have flowed over time, Podcast #86: Introduction to the NSW election, When local council parties break into state politics, NSW 2023 rising preference flows deciding the upper house. First Name Last Name Email Mobile phone (optional) Send me email updates Send me text messages How many other people are you bringing? Palaszczuk has quietly reversed her two-week pause on arrivals from the ACT, NSW and Victoria but only for essential worker politicians and not their staff. Password must be a minimum of 8 characters and contain at least one upper case letter, one lower case letter, one number, and one special character(@$!%*?&). Oxley was won by Labor's Bernie Ripoll in 1998, succeeded by current MP Milton Dick in 2016. The LNP narrowly won in northern Ipswich (50.3%) and won more sizeable majorities in the rural areas, winning 55.7% in rural parts of the Ipswich council area and 57.7% in the Somerset council area. Booths in the City of Brisbane have been split into South-East and North. Crime scene visits by juries Neumann is complacent and believes if he is seen in the community, then that is all he is required to do. You have entered an incorrect email address! Enter your details, then select 'Find' to display your results. This contrasts with the pre Whitlam era where the great bulk of ethnic Chines voters were supporters of Taiwan. Redbank and Springfield also experienced exceptional growth. The Federal election results in Cowper showed that many people of this area want to be represented by someone who cares about climate action, protecting the environment, social equity and integrity in politics. This is an atrocity for them. The data includes swing - a comparison of the percentage of TCP votes received at the previous federal election compared to the current federal election. How insulting. This overlapped with aspirational first-home buyers, priced out of other parts of Australia, who were attracted to the more affordable housing developments in abundance throughout the outer suburban fringes. All Rights Reserved. My opinion is that Shayne Neumann will increase his vote, As the LNP candidate here, he is missing in action. Its funny Daniel condemns Anastasia Palaszczuk trip to Japan but doesnt mention Scott Morrison took a leisure trip through England. I doubt theyd lose seats to the UAP/PHON anyway. 2019 result We are keeping this article about the First Edition for transparency purposes. Although as the pandemic fades into a lot of peoples rear-vision mirror, this Labor shine is also starting to fade. He is frequently in Blair as you can see in his social media and he relocated the senate office to Speingfield to focus on this seat and Oxley. How ridiculous & completely absurd Electoral success is no determiner of ministerial competence, or successs. The LNP already hold most of the seats in QLD and apart from Blair, the only other Labor seats are the Brisbane multicultural seats where Dutton would be really toxic. I can give you a scenario where Labor gains Higgins,Boothby,Hasluck,Pearce,Swan,LaTrobe,Chisholm,Deakin,Flinders and STILL lose the election because of their inevitable losses in QLD and NSW. We acknowledge the traditional owners and custodians of country throughout Australia and acknowledge their continuing connection to land, waters and community. Neumann is one of Labors worst MPs. This was done to ensure each electorate has roughly . This is a little surprising given how marginal the seat is. They were furious at Labor for what they perceived to be an abandonment of their blue-collar base for metropolitan progressives at a time their jobs became increasingly vulnerable. I did the calculations for Blair. The following members have announced they are not contesting the upcoming election: Labor. DEMOGRAPHICS. Select the 'Find online' button. There are a few factors bludgeoning this Labor vote in Blair (and similar QLD divisions) from all different directions. Some candidates subsequently amended their registration forms to reflect new district numbers. Page. Senator James McGrath. The division is named after the Australian explorer, John Oxley. Results 1983-2019. 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