More teams have claimed their spots in the NFC and AFC. The remaining 12 teams will play in next week's three-day wild-card extravaganza: two games on Saturday, three on Sunday and a Monday night finale to be broadcast by ABC/ESPN. Check out. He's been able to do it. FPI chance to make Super Bowl: 19.8%. . Dallas comes through again, while Buffalo gets its vengeance over Kansas City for the past two postseasons. "I felt like Geno just had a little bit more command over that offense. Reason for hope: The Dolphins' offense features two of the most explosive playmakers in the NFL in receivers Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle, both of whom can change a game with a single reception. First-game outlook: The Seahawks will play at their NFC West rival 49ers in the wild-card round Saturday (4:30 p.m. FPI chance to make Super Bowl: 49.8%. Ravens GM says he covets QBs, Montana SB jersey breaks Brady's auction record, Colts GM pins moving up to 'guy worthy of it', McCarthy: 'New voice' calling plays will help Dak, Out of dark, Rodgers vows decision coming soon, Survey: Vikes, Fins, Raiders top FA report cards, Chargers GM halts speculation: Allen staying put. Super Bowl odds: +6000 First-game outlook: The Bengals get a rematch with the Ravens, whom they just vanquished, as Cincinnati will host Baltimore in the wild-card round on Sunday (8:15 p.m. FPI chances to make playoffs: Clinched Super Bowl odds: +3000 -- Kevin Seifert, Is Justin Jefferson the best receiver in the NFL not on your team? 13. Ravens GM says he covets QBs, Montana SB jersey breaks Brady's auction record, Colts GM pins moving up to 'guy worthy of it', McCarthy: 'New voice' calling plays will help Dak, Out of dark, Rodgers vows decision coming soon, Survey: Vikes, Fins, Raiders top FA report cards, Chargers GM halts speculation: Allen staying put. Trevor Lawrence is superb once again for the Jags, while the Titans' Malik Willis-led offense could never get going. 1. 7, 22.9%. Why the Packers' transition to Jordan Love, whenever it happens, will require patience, A new home for Michael Thomas? CLE-PIT: Browns 20, Steelers 12 Projecting the NFL playoff picture: Live updated chances to clinch, tight races to watch, Top draft prospect Carter charged in fatal crash, Trade Lamar? Despite the fact he's only in his second season, Lawrence has plenty of big-game experience from his time at Clemson, where he led the Tigers to a national title as a freshman. 9. (5) Chargers at (4) Jaguars He gets in and out of cuts. Chiefs The New York Giants also punched their postseason ticket, as their rout of the Indianapolis Colts clinched New York's first playoff berth since 2016. Denver Broncos (5-12) Ranks: Kiper | McShay | Positional His 77.8 QBR in Weeks 15-17 (vs. Washington, Minnesota, Indianapolis) was second best in the NFL during that span and helped the Giants clinch their first playoff berth since 2016. Live in-game win probabilities measure multiple factors, including score, time remaining, field position, down-and-distance, team/opponent strength and game site. Here are the playoff-clinching scenarios for Week 17 as teams try to reach Super Bowl LVII on Feb. 12 at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Arizona. The first year of the NFL's expanded playoffs has left us with seven postseason spots still in play as Week 17 approaches. When the Bills quarterback is playing at his best, this team is incredibly difficult to stop. The Monday Night Football game between the Buffalo Bills and Cincinnati Bengals was postponed after safety Damar Hamlin collapsed on the field, was administered CPR and then was taken by ambulance to a local hospital, where he is in critical condition. ESPN's NFL Playoff Machine allows you to make 2022 NFL playoff matchup predictions by selecting the winners of games from the final week of the season and generating. NFL footage NFL Productions LLC. The No. Reason for hope: The Eagles have one of the best rosters in football, an MVP candidate at quarterback in Jalen Hurts and an offense that should be able to adapt to any style. Does Chargers' offense need to change? But the Eagles put that to rest quickly, taking down the Saints decisively in Week 17 to sew up the top spot and ensure some rest before the playoffs. Since quarterback Dak Prescott's return from a thumb injury, the Cowboys are averaging the most points per game (32.5) and have been superb on third down (52.3% conversion percentage). The Steelers snapped out of their extended funk at halftime of Sunday's game against the Colts, roaring back from a three-touchdown deficit to win and clinch the AFC North. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers' 19-16 overtime win over the Arizona Cardinals on Sunday night moved them back to a one-game lead over the Carolina Panthers (6-9) and the New Orleans Saints (6-9). Kansas City clinched the 1-seed in the AFC with its win over the Las Vegas Raiders. The Seattle Seahawks moved into the final wild-card spot with a victory over the New York Jets combined with the Washington Commanders' loss to the Cleveland Browns. ET, CBS). Result: The Commanders fell 24-10 to the Cleveland Browns and were eliminated after the Packers defeated the Vikings. TEN-JAX: Jaguars 30, Titans 6 9. FPI is giving Green Bay an 82% chance to lock up the No. 4. Can the Lions fix their defense? Cooper Kupp saved the Rams -- NFC player. These live probabilities are used by FPI season projections, which simulate the season based on each team's strength, schedule and tiebreaking rules. -- Jordan Raanan, What is most difficult about defending running back Saquon Barkley? The Seahawks clinched the NFC West with Sunday's victory over the Rams. Reason for hope: The Ravens have extremely stingy on defense since linebacker Roquan Smith was acquired in Week 9. He can hurt you with his legs." He doesn't get flustered at all. Yuck. The Steelers are eliminated from playoff contention with the Dolphins' win over the Jets. Which first-round prospects should Raiders focus on at combine? A lot of people, you don't see them make those type of jumps that fast. He spins off of a lot of contact. 2022 ESPN Playoff Machine By VaBeach_Eagle November 18, 2022 in ATNFL Hall of Fame 1 2 Next Page 1 of 2 VaBeach_Eagle Members 95.1k Member Title: EMB God Favorite Team: Eagles Fan Since: 1976 Posted November 18, 2022 It's that time of year again. The Buffalo Bills clinched their third consecutive AFC East title with a 35-13 win over the Chicago Bears on Saturday. Here is the current playoff picture for Week 18 as teams try to reach Super Bowl LVII on Feb. 12 at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Arizona. This could be a fatal flaw against superior opponents they face in the playoffs. Note: ESPN's Hank Gargiulo and Lauren Poe contributed to this story. Sunday's victory at Jacksonville, following the Cardinals' loss Saturday to the 49ers, catapulted the Bears to the brink of clinching an unlikely playoff berth. Reason for concern: The Bengals' offense hasn't strung two good halves together the past three games. FPI chances to win division: Clinched First-game outlook: The Dolphins return to the playoffs for the first time since 2016 and will play at AFC East rival Buffalo in the wild-card round on Sunday (1 p.m. And with a healthy Lamar Jackson back in the fray, this is no gimme for Cincinnati. These matchups are set. There are some times where he's trying to make the big play instead of taking the checkdown. ET, ABC/ESPN/ESPN+). If quarterback Tua Tagovailoa is medically cleared to return from concussion protocol, Miami can put up points with any team in the NFL and has shown the ability to quickly erase deficits. Our NFL Nation reporters bring us the biggest keys to every game, a bold prediction for each matchup and, of course, final score picks.. Additionally, ESPN Stats & Information . Ravens GM says he covets QBs, Montana SB jersey breaks Brady's auction record, Colts GM pins moving up to 'guy worthy of it', McCarthy: 'New voice' calling plays will help Dak, Out of dark, Rodgers vows decision coming soon, Survey: Vikes, Fins, Raiders top FA report cards, Chargers GM halts speculation: Allen staying put. This marks the first playoff matchup between the AFC North rivals. NFL draft questions for teams in the top 10: Will the Colts trade up? I don't think any of us think that in here. 6. IND-NYG: Giants 34, Colts 0 4. In the AFC, the Miami Dolphins fell out of the playoff field with a loss to the New England Patriots, who now have the final AFC wild-card spot. NFL Home Scores Schedule Standings Stats Teams NFL Draft NFL FPI The defense, despite playing without Bosa and safety Derwin James Jr., began hitting its stride down the stretch, improving from among the worst-ranked units to among the best. http://www.espn.com/nfl/playoffs/machine Also: Kansas City Chiefs vs. 7. NFL draft questions for teams in the top 10: Will the Colts trade up? New York Jets (7-10) New York Giants (9-7-1) 3) Which of the five NFC teams that have secured playoff spots do you trust the least? Could the Cowboys look at a running back in first round again? Using ESPN's Football Power Index (FPI), we determined the most likely seed combination in each conference. 2. To be honest I think they need to run the ball more, just get Tony Pollard and Zeke [Elliott] 15 to 20 touches each and use the play action. Stay on current site or go to US version. The offense, which was inconsistent last postseason, has displayed improved efficiency throughout the season and has been able to find different ways to score points. 4. 2. 8. Detroit Lions (7-10) FPI chances to make playoffs: 51.9% The Ravens also would get in if the Browns or Colts lose. Stay on current site or go to US version. They'll be dealing with much better quarterbacks and offensive lines in the postseason. Here are the current standings in the East, with the bottom four seeds lining up for the Play-In Tournament. FPI chances to make playoffs: 91.9% FPI chances to win division: Eliminated Most likely seed, per FPI: No. 16. Most likely seed, per FPI: No. -- Michael DiRocco, What's the most difficult thing about facing Lawrence? Honestly, if that left guard doesn't get beat [by Aaron Donald in the final minute] in the Super Bowl, I think they win. First-game outlook: The Buccaneers will host the Cowboys in a wild-card game on Monday, Jan. 16 (8:15 p.m. Philadelphia Eagles (15-2) Most likely seed, per FPI: No. They can rectify that by beating the Bears in Week 17. Ravens GM says he covets QBs, Montana SB jersey breaks Brady's auction record, Colts GM pins moving up to 'guy worthy of it', McCarthy: 'New voice' calling plays will help Dak, Out of dark, Rodgers vows decision coming soon, Survey: Vikes, Fins, Raiders top FA report cards, Chargers GM halts speculation: Allen staying put. They can clinch a playoff berth with a win at the Falcons combined with a loss by the 49ers. 5,899. However, the race to the playoffs continues as top teams in both conferences are still looking to lock in their spots for the postseason and have a chance to do so in Week 16. Can the Lions fix their defense? Close. This will be the first playoff meeting between Baltimore and Cincinnati. Of the teams still alive, Dallas has the lowest FPI playoff odds at 16.2%. Stay on current site or go to US version. Result: The Giants clinched a wild-card spot with a 38-10 win over the Colts, marking their first playoff berth since 2016. But what he does when Bosa is in the lineup is he gives them a reliable rusher from the other edge. Nfl Playoff Picture 2020 - Week 10 Standings, Bracket, Scenarios . -- AFC defensive player. New 2024 NBA mock draft 49ers wrestle No. NFL draft questions for teams in the top 10: Will the Colts trade up? ET, NBC). The Panthers give them a run for it, but Brady leads a drive for a game-winning field goal to give Tampa Bay the 24-21 decision. 1 spot in the conference. Week 17 NFC playoff-clinching scenarios New York Giants (9-6-1) Result: The Giants clinched a wild-card spot with a 38-10 win over the Colts, marking their first playoff berth since 2016. "He's the focal point of their defense. The story of Week 17 is a playoff picture that comes slightly more into focus but still remains blurry heading into the season's final week. Super Bowl odds: +800 But after both teams lose in Week 17, it comes down to a Week 18 contest. Most likely seed, per FPI: No. Web ESPN . NYG-PHI: Eagles 31, Giants 15 The Los Angeles Chargers got some help in the form of losses by the Jets, Patriots and Raiders in Week 16, and took advantage with a rout of the Indianapolis Colts on Monday night to reach the playoffs. First-game outlook: The Chiefs have the No. Miami makes for a dangerous No. 2 seed in the conference. Our guide to all 14 teams, from the favorites to the underdogs, Top draft prospect Carter charged in fatal crash, Trade Lamar? The Packers weren't able to clinch the NFC's top spot, despite Sunday night's victory over the Titans, because both the Saints and Seahawks won in Week 16. In two playoff games last season, Allen threw nine touchdown passes to zero interceptions and threw for more than 600 yards. 1. They're third in the NFL with a plus-9 turnover margin on drives that have started in the fourth quarter or overtime. -- Lindsey Thiry, What does Khalil Mack do that changes the Chargers' defense? ET, CBS). After spending most of the season dealing with significant injuries, several key playmakers -- including edge rusher Joey Bosa -- have returned. Here is the current playoff picture for Week 18 as teams try to reach Super Bowl LVII on Feb. 12 at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Arizona. Miami Dolphins, 7-3 (AFC East leader) 3. Chicago Bears (5-12) First-game outlook: The Chargers will play at Jacksonville on Saturday (8:15 p.m. The Jaguars beat the Titans to win the AFC South crown. FPI puts the chances of it happening at 5%. The D-line has got to lock it in. As far as having the confidence to put it out there and give his guys a chance, and the ability to put it where it's supposed to be, I think he's at the very top." Result: Lost 27-24 to the Minnesota Vikings and can't clinch a playoff berth this week. Which first-round prospects should Raiders focus on at combine? The Lions will clinch a playoff spot with a victory over the Packers and a Seahawks loss to the Rams. 1 overall draft pick in late-season stunner: Arizona has just a 2% chance to earn the No. 15. Reason for concern: While Allen gives the Bills hope, the lack of a consistent slot receiver and drop issues are concerning for a Bills offense that has been up and down at times. The browser you are using is no longer supported on this site. After 16 weeks of wildness, the NFC East title is going to come down to Week 17. ET, ABC/ESPN/ESPN+). . CLE-WSH: Commanders 41, Browns 10 ET, NBC). LAR-LAC: Chargers 49, Rams 27 QB Hot Board | First-round grades Miami Dolphins (9-8) Projected wild-card matchups The Titans will clinch if they beat the Texans or via a loss by the Ravens, Colts or Dolphins. Each N.F.L. 1, 79.7%. So now it's time for the really fun part: the 2022 NFL playoffs. A deep playoff run would be just as unexpected, but Geno Smith & Co. have shown flashes of being a good team during their up-and-down season. They'll need a win over the Rams in Week 17 to do it (37.4% chance, per FPI). Let's break down the state of the race following the 15thand longestweek of the 2021 NFL campaign. The simplest way to do it will be to beat the Panthers and then have the Seahawks win and the Packers lose in Week 17. FPI chances to win division: Clinched Los Angeles Rams (6-11) Mahomes leads Chiefs' comeback Cardinals grab No. New York finished the regular season with a point differential of minus-6. Offensively, the Bolts are also establishing a rhythm of newfound continuity after receivers Keenan Allen and Mike Williams returned to health, though Williams suffered a back injury in Week 18. 1 seed in Week 17: After the Cowboys beat the Gardner Minshew-led Eagles in Week 16, there was very brief No. Top cornerback Carlton Davis hasn't practiced since suffering a shoulder injury in Week 16, cornerback Jamel Dean is nursing a big toe injury, safety Mike Edwards has been limited by a hip/hamstring injury, safety Logan Ryan has a knee injury and defensive tackle Vita Vea is dealing with a calf injury. I think he does a really good job at the catch point. Bills secure top seed in AFC: Buffalo entered the final two weeks in control of its own destiny for the No. Projecting the futures of Kirk Cousins, Dalvin Cook and other Vikings veterans. The Patriots are eliminated from playoff contention after losing to the Bills. The Jets fall to the Seahawks, knocking New York out of the race. Things get complicated. With an Eagles' win, the 49ers are the No. You wouldn't really expect it because he seems really skinny, but he's really strong at the catch point and he's good after he catches the ball. Here's how the NFL playoff picture looks with Week 18 . Super Bowl odds: +550 Losing nose tackle Bryan Mone was another blow to Seattle's run defense. The Saints avoided playoff elimination by defeating the Panthers. But after both teams lose in Week 17, it comes down to a Week 18 contest. -- Ben Baby, Where does Burrow rank among QBs in the fourth quarter? FPI chances to win division: Eliminated Scores: Week 17 | Week 18 --- Baltimore split its two games with the Bengals, losing 27-16 on Sunday and beating Cincinnati 19-17 in Week 5. "He's elusive. 8. First-game outlook: After losing in Cincinnati on Sunday, the Ravens will return to Ohio to play the Bengals in the wild-card round Sunday (8:15 p.m. In the NFC wild-card battle, the Giants lock up one Mahomes wins second SB MVP They'll either need to beat the Packers in Week 17 or have the Cardinals lose to the Rams in order to secure their postseason spot. New York Giants (5-10): Similarly, the Giants can win the NFC East if they beat the Cowboys in Week 17 and Washington loses to the Eagles. Most likely seed, per FPI: No. FPI chances to make playoffs: Clinched 1 seed, so they won't play until the divisional round on Jan. 21 or 22. Which first-round prospects should Raiders focus on at combine? Our bracket is still intact, and our final four and Super Bowl. And with a healthy Lamar Jackson back in the fray, this is no gimme for Cincinnati. Joe Burrow, Ja'Marr Chase and the Cincinnati offense get it done, though, dropping . Most likely seed, per FPI: No. The Saints clinched their fourth consecutive NFC South championship with Friday's wild victory over the Vikings. ago Why the Packers' transition to Jordan Love, whenever it happens, will require patience, A new home for Michael Thomas? Why the Packers' transition to Jordan Love, whenever it happens, will require patience, A new home for Michael Thomas? The playoffs begin Jan. 14, with 14 teams making the field, seven from each conference. NFL Home Scores Schedule Standings Stats Teams NFL Draft NFL FPI More -- NFC offensive player. Most likely seed, per FPI: No. (7) Dolphins at (2) Chiefs But the door to the No. So, if he's looking at a lot of zone looks he'll just find the soft spots over and over and Mahomes has been around him so long he just knows how Kelce will settle in all of those looks. 4 seed with its win over the Tennessee Titans. Week 15 standings bracket clinching scenarios and postseason outlook. Playoff Machine . Then they need a loss by either the Titans, Ravens, Browns or Dolphins. The Los Angeles Chargers moved into the top wild card position thanks to their win over the Rams, coupled with the Baltimore Ravens' loss to the Pittsburgh Steelers on Sunday night. 7 seed with a win over the New York Jets. Which first-round prospects should Raiders focus on at combine? This is the first playoff meeting between the teams. ET, NBC). Bengals beat out Ravens for AFC North: In recent weeks, it has felt inevitable that the red-hot Bengals would win this division over the stumbling Ravens. 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